# AN HD2/L1.2

Express the likelihood of an event using fractions, decimals and percentages with the probability scale of 0 to 1 (a) Understand that the likelihood of an event is measured on a scale from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain) (b) Understand that likelihood (or probability) is expressed as the number of ways the event can happen divided by the total number of possible outcomes (c) Understand that likelihood or probability can be written as a fraction, decimal or percentage, e.g. the likelihood that a coin will land heads-up is 50%, .5 or 1/2 - the expression there is a fifty-fifty chance is an expression of likelihood using percentages

## Independent events - L2 Probability

Straightforward probability questions for L2 Functional Maths (dice, playing cards, socks, pens, etc.). Includes useful practice with simplifying fractions.
Plus an interesting extension question.

Level
L2
GCSE L1-5
Maths
FM L2.27 Express probabilities as fractions, decimals and percentages
GCSE P3 (language of probability, 0-1 scale)
GCSE P4 (collectively exhaustive / mutually exclusive outcomes)
AN HD2/L1.1
AN HD2/L1.2

## Probability AfL plenary cards

A nice way to check learning of probability at the end of a session.

Level
L1
Maths
AN HD2/L1.2
Functional Maths - handling information and data

## Summer fayre probability

Topical summer probability practice based on a childen’s lucky dip game at a fair. Answer sheet included.

Adapted from Halloween Probability (listed under See also below).

Level
L2
L1
Maths
AN HD2/L1.2
Functional Maths - handling information and data
Context
Health, Social care, Early years

## Probability game

A game to help learners get to grips with the likelihood of selecting a particular thing at random. Students practise expressing probabilities as fractions, decimals and percentages. This activity avoids the taboos on dice and cards that some learners have. It also revises concepts such as multiples and “greater” and “less than”.

1 page cards to be cut out – give one set to each student (or pair of students), 1 page for student to complete, plus an answer sheet.

Level
L2
L1
Maths
AN HD2/L1.2
Functional Maths - handling information and data

## Probability with a pack of playing cards

Probability with a pack of playing cards was written for an ESOL numeracy student unfamiliar with playing cards but is great for any L1 student. Express the likelihood of single events (and also practice simplifying fractions!).

Level
L1
Maths
AN HD2/L1.2

## Halloween probability

Wonderful differentiated topical practice in expressing the likelihood of single events.

Level
L1
Maths
AN HD2/L1.2
AN HD2/L1.1

## Football statistics.

Find out which premiership team has the best (and worst!) value season ticket, look at the probabilities of different half time scores, and much more.

Level
L1
Maths
HD1/L1.3
AN HD2/L1.1
AN HD2/L1.2
Context
Sport